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US inflation rises to 3.6% in September as December rate-hike expectations strengthen

Economy · First reported 29 Oct, 04:25 · Updated 17:49

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US PCE inflation rose to 3.6% over the year through September, while consumer spending increased but inflation-adjusted spending was unchanged for the month. The report said markets were pricing in an 84.6% chance of a December Federal Reserve rate increase.

  • The PCE price index rose 0.5% in September, and its 12-month increase accelerated to 3.6% from 3.4% in August.
  • Consumer spending rose 0.5% in September, but inflation-adjusted spending was unchanged; quarterly spending grew at an annualised rate of 3.8%.
  • The Fed held its benchmark rate at 3.75%–4.00%, while financial markets priced in an 84.6% chance of a December increase.
Summary written by Lux AI from 2 articles

Key facts

PCE inflation
3.6% year over year in September, up from 3.4% in August.
Core PCE inflation
3.1% year over year in September, compared with 3.0% in August.
Fed benchmark rate
Held at 3.75%–4.00%.
Market-implied chance of December rate increase
84.6%.
Consumer spending
Rose 0.5% in September; inflation-adjusted spending was unchanged.

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