Prediction: Earnings Will “Double” at Amazon, Alphabet and Meta in Five Years

An analysis compares investor Whitney Tilson’s five-year earnings-doubling benchmark with analyst estimates for Amazon, Alphabet and Meta. The estimates indicate different growth paths for the companies, while Amazon’s free cash flow is forecast to remain negative through 2027.

• The article says Tilson looks for companies whose earnings can double in five years, a pace it equates to about 15% annual growth.· 1 source
• Analyst consensus cited in the article projects normalized earnings per share growth of about 26% annually for Amazon and 24% for Alphabet from 2026 to 2028; Meta’s estimates rise 16% in 2027 and 15% in 2028 after a nearly flat 2026.· 1 source
• The article reports Amazon free-cash-flow estimates of negative $33.9 billion in 2026 and negative $8.1 billion in 2027, followed by a projected $37.8 billion inflow in 2028.· 1 source